The use of simulation in the development and empirical validation of analytic models for emergency services

  • Authors:
  • Edward J. Ignall;Peter Kolesar;Warren E. Walker

  • Affiliations:
  • -;-;-

  • Venue:
  • WSC '74 Proceedings of the 7th conference on Winter simulation - Volume 2
  • Year:
  • 1974

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Abstract

Simulation models are generally costly tools to use in systems analysis. Whenever applicable, one prefers to use a simple analytic model. However, in many cases, the conditions assumed by solvable analytic models do not hold in the real world. But a simulation can be used to suggest an approximate model and to determine how good an approximation an analytic model is. We show how simulations of New York City's fire and police operations have been used to develop and validate simple analytic models which are now being used to determine the deployment of resources in these two services.