Neural Networks in Forecasting Models: Nile River Application

  • Authors:
  • Suzan El Shoura;Mohamed El Sherif;Amir Atiya;Samir Shaheen

  • Affiliations:
  • -;-;-;-

  • Venue:
  • MWSCAS '98 Proceedings of the 1998 Midwest Symposium on Systems and Circuits
  • Year:
  • 1998

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Abstract

The neural network approach is applied to the prediction of the flow of the River Nile. A multilayer feed-forward network is constructed and trained by the back propagation algorithm. We propose several different methods for single-step ahead forecast and multi-step ahead forecast in an attempt to get the least prediction error. These methods investigate different ways to preprocess the inputs and the outputs. We consider ten-days ahead forecast and one-month ahead forecast. In both cases good results were observed.