Worst Case Reliability Prediction Based on a Prior Estimate of Residual Defects

  • Authors:
  • Peter G. Bishop;Robin E. Bloomfield

  • Affiliations:
  • -;-

  • Venue:
  • ISSRE '02 Proceedings of the 13th International Symposium on Software Reliability Engineering
  • Year:
  • 2002

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Abstract

In this paper we extend an earlier worst case boundreliability theory to derive a worst case reliabilityfunction R(t), which gives the worst case probability ofsurviving a further time t given an estimate of residualdefects in the software N and a prior test time T.The earlier theory and its extension are presented andthe paper also considers the case where there is a lowprobability of any defect existing in the program. For the"fractional defect" case, there can be a high probabilityof surviving any subsequent time t. The implications ofthe theory are discussed and compared with alternativereliability models.Keywords: reliability prediction, reliability testing, worstcase reliability bound, residual fault prediction.