Regression with response distributions of Pareto-type

  • Authors:
  • Jan Beirlant;Yuri Goegebeur

  • Affiliations:
  • Department of Mathematics, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Celestijnenlaan 200B, B-3001 Leuven, Belgium;Department of Applied Economics, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Naamsestraat 69, B-3000 Leuven, Belgium

  • Venue:
  • Computational Statistics & Data Analysis
  • Year:
  • 2003

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Abstract

The estimation of the Pareto index in presence of covariate information is discussed. The Pareto index is modelled as a function of the explanatory variables and hence measures the tail heaviness of the conditional distribution of the response variable given this covariate information. The original response data are transformed in order to obtain generalized residuals, possessing a common Pareto-type distribution. An exponential regression model will be developed for these generalized residuals. The parameters of this model are estimated using a profile likelihood method. The resulting maximum likelihood estimates of the regression coefficients can be used for the estimation of extreme quantiles of the conditional distribution of the dependent variable. The methods developed are illustrated with two practical examples.