Asset Price Anomalies under Bounded Rationality

  • Authors:
  • Emilio Barucci;Roberto Monte;Roberto Renò/

  • Affiliations:
  • Dipartimento di Statistica e Matematica Applicata all'Economia, Università/ di Pisa, Via Cosimo Ridolfi, 10 –/ 56124 Pisa, Italy/ E-mail: ebarucci@ec.unipi.it;Dipartimento di Studi Economici, Finanziari e Metodi Quantitativi, Università/ di Roma `Tor Vergata', Via Columbia, 2 –/ 00133 Roma, Italy/ E-mail: monte@sefemeq.uniroma2.itreno@unisi.it

  • Venue:
  • Computational Economics
  • Year:
  • 2004

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Abstract

We analyze the classical asset pricing model assuming non fully rationalagents.Agents forecast future prices cum dividend through an adaptive learning rule.This assumption provides an explanation of some anomalies encounteredin the empirical analysis of asset prices under full rationality:returns are serially correlated(positively over a short horizon and negatively over a longer horizon)and the dividend yield predicts future returns (positive correlation).Considering the continuous time limit process,the same regularities are established analytically for price increments.