Agent based Genetic Algorithm Employing Financial Technical Analysis for Making Trading Decisions Using Historical Equity Market Data

  • Authors:
  • Cyril Schoreels;Brian Logan;Jonathan M. Garibaldi

  • Affiliations:
  • University of Nottingham;University of Nottingham;University of Nottingham

  • Venue:
  • IAT '04 Proceedings of the IEEE/WIC/ACM International Conference on Intelligent Agent Technology
  • Year:
  • 2004

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Abstract

This paper investigates the effectiveness of an agent based trading system. The system developed employs a simple genetic algorithm to evolve an optimized trading approach for every agent, with their trading decisions based on a range of technical indicators generating trading signals. Their trading pattern follows a simple fitness function of maximizing net assets for every evolutionary cycle. Their performance is analyzed compared to market movements as represented by its Index, as well as investment funds run by human professionals to establish a relative measure of success. The results show that the developed system performs comparably to its human counterparts across different market environments, despite these agents being rather primitive in nature. Future forthcoming work will refine and explore the potential of this approach further.