Indifference zone selection procedures: an indifference-zone selection procedure with minimum switching and sequential sampling

  • Authors:
  • L. Jeff Hong;Barry L. Nelson

  • Affiliations:
  • Northwestern University, Evanston, IL;Northwestern University, Evanston, IL

  • Venue:
  • Proceedings of the 35th conference on Winter simulation: driving innovation
  • Year:
  • 2003

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Abstract

Statistical ranking and selection (R&S) is a collection of experiment design and analysis techniques for selecting the "population" with the largest or smallest mean performance from among a finite set of alternatives. R&S procedures have received considerable research attention in the stochastic simulation community, and they have been incorporated in commercial simulation software. One of the ways that R&S procedures are evaluated and compared is via the expected number of samples (often replications) that must be generated to reach a decision. In this paper we argue that sampling cost alone does not adequately characterize the efficiency of ranking-and-selection procedures, and we introduce a new sequential procedure that provides the same statistical guarantees as existing procedures while reducing the expected total cost of application.