On the spread of viruses on the internet

  • Authors:
  • Noam Berger;Christian Borgs;Jennifer T. Chayes;Amin Saberi

  • Affiliations:
  • California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA;Microsoft Research, Redmond, WA;Microsoft Research, Redmond, WA;Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA

  • Venue:
  • SODA '05 Proceedings of the sixteenth annual ACM-SIAM symposium on Discrete algorithms
  • Year:
  • 2005

Quantified Score

Hi-index 0.02

Visualization

Abstract

We analyze the contact process on random graphs generated according to the preferential attachment scheme as a model for the spread of viruses in the Internet. We show that any virus with a positive rate of spread from a node to its neighbors has a non-vanishing chance of becoming epidemic. Quantitatively, we discover an interesting dichotomy: for a virus with effective spread rate λ, if the infection starts at a typical vertex, then it develops into an epidemic with probability λΘ(log(1/λ)/log log(1/λ), but on average the epidemic probability is λΘ(1).