Feature selection methods involving support vector machines for prediction of insolvency in non-life insurance companies: Research Articles

  • Authors:
  • Sancho Salcedo-Sanz;Mario DePrado-Cumplido;María Jesús Segovia-Vargas;Fernando Pérez-Cruz;Carlos Bousoño-Calzón

  • Affiliations:
  • Department of Signal Theory and Communications, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Spain;Department of Signal Theory and Communications, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Spain;Department of Financial Economy and Accounting I, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Spain;Department of Signal Theory and Communications, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Spain;Department of Signal Theory and Communications, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Spain

  • Venue:
  • International Journal of Intelligent Systems in Accounting and Finance Management
  • Year:
  • 2004

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Abstract

We propose two novel approaches for feature selection and ranking tasks based on simulated annealing (SA) and Walsh analysis, which use a support vector machine as an underlying classifier. These approaches are inspired by one of the key problems in the insurance sector: predicting the insolvency of a non-life insurance company. This prediction is based on accounting ratios, which measure the health of the companies. The approaches proposed provide a set of ratios (the SA approach) and a ranking of the ratios (the Walsh analysis ranking) that would allow a decision about the financial state of each company studied. The proposed feature selection methods are applied to the prediction the insolvency of several Spanish non-life insurance companies, yielding state-of-the-art results in the tests performed. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.