Market Index Prediction using Fuzzy Boolean Nets

  • Authors:
  • Jose A. B. Tome;Joao Paulo Carvalho

  • Affiliations:
  • INESC-id,Rua Alves Redol,Lisboa;INESC-id,Rua Alves Redol,Lisboa

  • Venue:
  • HIS '05 Proceedings of the Fifth International Conference on Hybrid Intelligent Systems
  • Year:
  • 2005

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Abstract

A wide range of applications can be identified for time series prediction, including energy systems planning, currency forecasting, or traffic prediction. Specifically, stock exchange operations can greatly benefit from efficient forecast techniques. Therefore, a number of different prediction approaches have been proposed such as linear models, Feedforward Neural network models, Recurrent Neural networks or Fuzzy Neural Models. In this paper one presents a prediction model based on fuzzy rules that relate past data values with the next unknown value to be estimated. A Fuzzy Boolean Neural Network has been used for this purpose, which has been applied to the Nasdaq index prediction. The results turned to be encouraging, namely on the percentage of correct up/down trend prediction.