Prediction Of Weather-Related Failures Of Overhead Distribution Feeders

  • Authors:
  • Yujia Zhou;Anil Pahwa;Sanjoy Das

  • Affiliations:
  • Electrical and Computer Engineering, Kansas State University, Manhattan, KS 66506-5204, E-mail: Yujia.Zhou@us.kema.com/ pahwa@ksu.edu/ sdas@ksu.edu;Electrical and Computer Engineering, Kansas State University, Manhattan, KS 66506-5204, E-mail: Yujia.Zhou@us.kema.com/ pahwa@ksu.edu/ sdas@ksu.edu;Electrical and Computer Engineering, Kansas State University, Manhattan, KS 66506-5204, E-mail: Yujia.Zhou@us.kema.com/ pahwa@ksu.edu/ sdas@ksu.edu

  • Venue:
  • Probability in the Engineering and Informational Sciences
  • Year:
  • 2006

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Abstract

This article presents two methods for predicting weather-related overhead distribution feeder failures. The first model is based on linear regression, which uses a regression function to determine the correlation between the weather factors and overhead feeder failures. The second method is based on a one-layer Bayesian network, which uses conditional probabilities to model the correlation. Both methods are discussed and followed by tests to assess their performance. The results obtained using these methods are discussed and compared.