Sports analogy for modelling of combat in the air domain

  • Authors:
  • Alan Cowdale

  • Affiliations:
  • Air Warfare Centre, Lincoln, England

  • Venue:
  • WSC '05 Proceedings of the 37th conference on Winter simulation
  • Year:
  • 2005

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Abstract

Aggregated models of Air Warfare invariably rely on a user input value for probability of success (kill) or 'exchange ratio' in Air-to-Air Combat. There is limited historical data available to validate these parameters for engagements between non-peer opponents. This paper explores the potential for gaining insights to non-peer Air-to-Air outcomes from the world of sport, and examines the results from Association Football competitions in England.