Set confidence interval for customer order cycle time in supply chain using GERT method

  • Authors:
  • Mahdi Zanddizari

  • Affiliations:
  • MBA department, Mazandaran University of Science and Technology, Mazandaran, Iran

  • Venue:
  • MS'06 Proceedings of the 17th IASTED international conference on Modelling and simulation
  • Year:
  • 2006

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Abstract

Order cycle time is an important issue in supply chain management and Hard to control. It is a set of either deterministic or probabilistic activities. Since order cycle is assumed as a GERT network, has a variable time and a branching probability for each arrow, hence the total cycle time is variable. This paper proposes a new solution technique based on GERT method to control Customer lead-time in a supply chain The proposed method is efficient in estimating mean and variance of the order Cycle time and more accurately confidence interval.