Primal Method for Determining the Most Likely Route Flows in Large Road Networks

  • Authors:
  • Hillel Bar-Gera

  • Affiliations:
  • Department of Industrial Engineering and Management, Ben-Gurion University, P.O.B. 653, Be'er-Sheva 84105, Israel

  • Venue:
  • Transportation Science
  • Year:
  • 2006

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Abstract

This paper presents a method to identify the set of routes and their flows in a user-equilibrium traffic assignment solution. We present a general consistency condition that is satisfied by any set of minimum-cost routes, and show how it can be used in choosing a set of routes that is likely to be similar to the set of user-equilibrium routes. The proposed consistency condition is also essential for finding the entropy-maximizing route flows solution, which may be regarded as the most likely one. An efficient method for finding the entropy-maximizing solution is presented. Numerical results on several networks, including one of large scale, demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method. In most cases the method achieves a duality gap of practically zero in a short computation time.