Forecasting user demand for wireless services

  • Authors:

  • Colin Blackman;Simon Forge;Erik Bohlin;Bernard Clements

  • Affiliations:

  • Info and Foresight, 13 High Street, Cottenham, Cambridge CB24 8SA, UK;SCF Associates Ltd., 4 Chiltern Close, Princes Risborough, Bucks HP 27 0EA, UK;Department of Technology Management and Economics, Chalmers University of Technology, S 412 96 Göteborg, Sweden;Information and Communication Technologies (ICTs) Unit, Institute for Prospective Technological Studies, Edificio Expo, C/Inca Garcilaso, s/n E-41092 Seville, Spain

  • Venue:
  • Telematics and Informatics
  • Year:
  • 2007

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Abstract

This article reports the findings of a study for the European Commission to forecast demand for mobile communications services up to 2020. The study used a socio-economic approach including scenarios to explore the future and an original methodology for estimating traffic volumes under different socio-economic conditions. This article describes the objectives, outlines the methodology and summarises the results of the study. The study's findings lay the foundation for a European consensus for calculating future spectrum requirements and are an important part of the process in the lead up to the World Radiocommunication Conference in 2007.