Toward Next-Generation, Simulation-Based Computational Tools for Conflict and Peace Studies

  • Authors:
  • Levent Yilmaz

  • Affiliations:
  • Auburn University, Auburn, AL

  • Venue:
  • Social Science Computer Review
  • Year:
  • 2007

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Abstract

Human, social, and international conflicts are inescapable facts of life. This article elaborates on how advances in simulation theory and methodology can improve exploring and studying the dynamics of conflicts. The premise of the proposed strategy is based on the observation that agent-based social simulation, which enables high-level and powerful problem-solving capabilities, needs to be significantly enhanced to model complex, multilevel, and multistaged conflicts. To this end, the issues, challenges, and rationale underlying a novel simulation methodology, called multisimulation, are explained. The conceptual foundations needed for the realization of multisimulation are presented to contribute to the development of advanced simulation-based computational laboratories for conflict studies. Finally, by using the Bloomfield-Leiss dynamic phase model of conflict, the author argues for the utility of multisimulation.