Environmental Modelling & Software
Environmental Modelling & Software
Air quality integrated modelling in Turin urban area
Environmental Modelling & Software
Statistical models to assess the health effects and to forecast ground-level ozone
Environmental Modelling & Software
PM10 forecasting for Thessaloniki, Greece
Environmental Modelling & Software
Adaptive nonlinear state-space modelling for the prediction of daily mean PM10 concentrations
Environmental Modelling & Software
Environmental Modelling & Software
Non-linear variable selection for artificial neural networks using partial mutual information
Environmental Modelling & Software
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An urban air quality forecasting system for Torino city has been developed, within the EU funded project FUMAPEX, to support the prevention and management of urban air pollution episodes. The proposed forecasting system is designed to provide stakeholders with information useful to define mitigation actions, and to inform the population. The modelling system is based on prognostic downscaling of weather forecasts and on multi-scale chemical transport model simulation, in order to describe atmospheric circulation in a complex topographic environment, space/time variation of emissions and pollutant import from neighbouring regions. Nested domains are employed to reach the target resolution of 1km, resolving the main structure of the urban area. The modelling system has been verified through its application to a summer photochemical episode and to a winter NO"2 and PM"1"0 episode. The verification has demonstrated the system capability to describe space and time variation of summer NO"2 and O"3 concentrations. Winter pollution levels during rush hours have also correctly reproduced, while underestimation of NO"2 and PM"1"0 has been found during the central part of the day. The positive results of FUMAPEX project induced Piemonte Region and Novara Province Administrations to implement operational air quality forecasting systems for the cities of Torino and Novara.