Time series: theory and methods
Time series: theory and methods
On the self-similar nature of Ethernet traffic (extended version)
IEEE/ACM Transactions on Networking (TON)
Analysis, modeling and generation of self-similar VBR video traffic
SIGCOMM '94 Proceedings of the conference on Communications architectures, protocols and applications
Self-similarity in World Wide Web traffic: evidence and possible causes
Proceedings of the 1996 ACM SIGMETRICS international conference on Measurement and modeling of computer systems
IEEE/ACM Transactions on Networking (TON)
Modelling extremal events: for insurance and finance
Modelling extremal events: for insurance and finance
Workload characterization of a Web proxy in a cable modem environment
ACM SIGMETRICS Performance Evaluation Review
SOSP '01 Proceedings of the eighteenth ACM symposium on Operating systems principles
Quality of Service in ATM Networks: State-of-the-Art Traffic Management
Quality of Service in ATM Networks: State-of-the-Art Traffic Management
On the solution of reroute sequence planning problem in MPLS networks
Computer Networks: The International Journal of Computer and Telecommunications Networking
A measurement study of available bandwidth estimation tools
Proceedings of the 3rd ACM SIGCOMM conference on Internet measurement
End-to-end estimation of the available bandwidth variation range
SIGMETRICS '05 Proceedings of the 2005 ACM SIGMETRICS international conference on Measurement and modeling of computer systems
Supermedia Interface for Internet-based Telediagnostics of Breast Pathology
International Journal of Robotics Research
Evaluation and characterization of available bandwidth probing techniques
IEEE Journal on Selected Areas in Communications
QRON: QoS-aware routing in overlay networks
IEEE Journal on Selected Areas in Communications
Adaptive media playout for low-delay video streaming over error-prone channels
IEEE Transactions on Circuits and Systems for Video Technology
A workload characterization study of the 1998 World Cup Web site
IEEE Network: The Magazine of Global Internetworking
Dynamic end-to-end capacity in IEEE 802.16 wireless mesh networks
Computer Networks: The International Journal of Computer and Telecommunications Networking
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Estimating the reliability of an end-to-end network path is critically important for applications that support remote real-time task execution. Available bandwidth defined as a minimum spare capacity of links constituting a network path is an important QoS characteristic of the path. In this work we demonstrate a new approach to modeling available bandwidth behavior from a time-series analysis prospective. In particular, we introduce a notion of crossing probability - the probability that the available bandwidth drops below the QoS critical threshold for the period of time required for the real-time task execution. We estimate the ''crossing probability'' by an application of the ARCH^2 (AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity) model to the available bandwidth behavior. We characterize the network path by model coefficients @b"0 and @b"1, which may be evaluated and updated dynamically. We use these coefficients to quickly output the ''crossing probability'' for arbitrary values of the threshold and length of the real-time task. The model was evaluated on real bandwidth measurements across multiple network paths.