Spatio-temporal Road Condition Forecasting with Markov Chains and Artificial Neural Networks

Authors:
Konsta Sirvio;Jaakko Hollmén
Affiliations:
Sirway Ltd., Finland;Dept. of Information and Computer Science, Helsinki University of Technology, Finland, Finland FI-02015 TKK
Venue:
HAIS '08 Proceedings of the 3rd international workshop on Hybrid Artificial Intelligence Systems
Year:
2008

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Abstract

Preservation of the road assets value in an efficient manner is an important aim for developed road administrations. The task requires accurate road maintenance that is planned in advance. Forecasting road condition in the future is a prerequisite for optimisation of maintenance treatments. In this study two hybrid methods are introduced for forecasting road roughness and rutting. Markovian models outperform artificial neural network models and roughness can be forecast more accurately than rutting.