Stochastic decomposition: an algorithm for two-state linear programs with recourse
Mathematics of Operations Research
Adaptive routing with end-to-end feedback: distributed learning and geometric approaches
STOC '04 Proceedings of the thirty-sixth annual ACM symposium on Theory of computing
Gaussian Processes for Machine Learning (Adaptive Computation and Machine Learning)
Gaussian Processes for Machine Learning (Adaptive Computation and Machine Learning)
Surface street traffic estimation
Proceedings of the 5th international conference on Mobile systems, applications and services
Cost-effective outbreak detection in networks
Proceedings of the 13th ACM SIGKDD international conference on Knowledge discovery and data mining
Improved algorithms for orienteering and related problems
Proceedings of the nineteenth annual ACM-SIAM symposium on Discrete algorithms
Maximizing a Submodular Set Function Subject to a Matroid Constraint (Extended Abstract)
IPCO '07 Proceedings of the 12th international conference on Integer Programming and Combinatorial Optimization
Spatio-temporal Road Condition Forecasting with Markov Chains and Artificial Neural Networks
HAIS '08 Proceedings of the 3rd international workshop on Hybrid Artificial Intelligence Systems
Planning and acting in partially observable stochastic domains
Artificial Intelligence
Bayesian reinforcement learning in continuous pomdps with Gaussian processes
IROS'09 Proceedings of the 2009 IEEE/RSJ international conference on Intelligent robots and systems
Traffic density-based discovery of hot routes in road networks
SSTD'07 Proceedings of the 10th international conference on Advances in spatial and temporal databases
Towards mobility-based clustering
Proceedings of the 16th ACM SIGKDD international conference on Knowledge discovery and data mining
Efficient planning under uncertainty with macro-actions
Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research
Driving with knowledge from the physical world
Proceedings of the 17th ACM SIGKDD international conference on Knowledge discovery and data mining
Discovering spatio-temporal causal interactions in traffic data streams
Proceedings of the 17th ACM SIGKDD international conference on Knowledge discovery and data mining
Proceedings of the 13th international conference on Ubiquitous computing
PEGASUS: a policy search method for large MDPs and POMDPs
UAI'00 Proceedings of the Sixteenth conference on Uncertainty in artificial intelligence
Using real-time road traffic data to evaluate congestion
Dependable and Historic Computing
Urban traffic modelling and prediction using large scale taxi GPS traces
Pervasive'12 Proceedings of the 10th international conference on Pervasive Computing
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We consider the problem of adaptively routing a fleet of cooperative vehicles within a road network in the presence of uncertain and dynamic congestion conditions. To tackle this problem, we first propose a Gaussian Process Dynamic Congestion Model that can effectively characterize both the dynamics and the uncertainty of congestion conditions. Our model is efficient and thus facilitates real-time adaptive routing in the face of uncertainty. Using this congestion model, we develop an efficient algorithm for non-myopic adaptive routing to minimize the collective travel time of all vehicles in the system. A key property of our approach is the ability to efficiently reason about the long-term value of exploration, which enables collectively balancing the exploration/exploitation trade-off for entire fleets of vehicles. We validate our approach based on traffic data from two large Asian cities. We show that our congestion model is effective in modeling dynamic congestion conditions. We also show that our routing algorithm generates significantly faster routes compared to standard baselines, and achieves near-optimal performance compared to an omniscient routing algorithm. We also present the results from a preliminary field study, which showcases the efficacy of our approach.