Scenario Planning of Mobile Peer-to-Peer Service Usage

  • Authors:
  • Mikko V. J. Heikkinen;Heikki Hämmäinen

  • Affiliations:
  • -;-

  • Venue:
  • ICMB '08 Proceedings of the 2008 7th International Conference on Mobile Business
  • Year:
  • 2008

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Abstract

Scenario planning is used in preliminary forecasting, especially in corporate and military strategy planning. Its purpose is to define the possible directions future may evolve regarding a specific phenomenon. We applied scenario planning to mobile peer-to-peer service usage in Finland during 2008-2012. Our objective was to understand the most relevant factors affecting mobile peer-to-peer service usage. Based on a literature study and a questionnaire study among subject experts, we determined stakeholders, trends and uncertainties relevant to mobile peer-to-peer, and developed scenarios summarizing mobile peer-to-peer service usage.