Prospective capabilities in hardware

  • Authors:
  • Margaret K. Butler

  • Affiliations:
  • Argonne National Laboratory, Argonne, Illinois

  • Venue:
  • AFIPS '76 Proceedings of the June 7-10, 1976, national computer conference and exposition
  • Year:
  • 1976

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Abstract

Today we can look back over the past thirty years and view the entire history of the electronic digital computer! In addressing the topic of prospective capabilities in hardware, this paper first attempts to extrapolate, from today's state-of-the-art and vantage point, general industry-wide trends and likely achievements. Then, an effort is made to cover in more detail specific areas of interest to the ERDA community. Subjects discussed include available large-scale computers---their architecture and viability. The microprocessor's impact on computer systems is considered, and potential applications of the microcomputer are identified. Then mass storage offerings and their role in predicted memory hierarchies is assessed; progress in the development of alternate storage technologies is reviewed. New products and anticipated innovations in peripheral and input-output equipment, probably the most lethargic segment of the dynamic hardware market, are described, and a survey of network and communications activity examines future directions this rapidly-expanding field might be expected to follow. Whenever possible in each of these areas, examples with descriptive characteristics, accompanied by cost and performance statistics, are presented in support of the initially-forecast broad technological trends. These examples, chosen for illustration, represent new hardware products, advanced technologies in the developmental stages, or planned enhancements of existing product lines.