Black Swans, Gray Cygnets and Other Rare Birds

Authors:
Edwina L. Rissland
Affiliations:
Department of Computer Science, University of Massachusetts, Amherst MA 01003-9264
Venue:
ICCBR '09 Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Case-Based Reasoning: Case-Based Reasoning Research and Development
Year:
2009

Citing 12
Cited 2

Case-based planning: viewing planning as a memory task

Case-based planning: viewing planning as a memory task
Dimension-based analysis of hypotheticals from supreme court oral argument

ICAIL '89 Proceedings of the 2nd international conference on Artificial intelligence and law
The structure-mapping engine: algorithm and examples

Artificial Intelligence
Building explanations from rules and structured cases

International Journal of Man-Machine Studies - AI and legal reasoning. Part 1
CABARET: rule interpretation in a hybrid architecture

International Journal of Man-Machine Studies - AI and legal reasoning. Part 1
Using self-diagnosis to adapt organizational structures

Proceedings of the fifth international conference on Autonomous agents
Evaluating Explanations: A Content Theory

Evaluating Explanations: A Content Theory
Modeling Legal Arguments: Reasoning with Cases and Hypotheticals

Modeling Legal Arguments: Reasoning with Cases and Hypotheticals
Integrations with case-based reasoning

The Knowledge Engineering Review
AI and Similarity

IEEE Intelligent Systems
From Anomaly Reports to Cases

ICCBR '07 Proceedings of the 7th international conference on Case-Based Reasoning: Case-Based Reasoning Research and Development
Complexity-guided case discovery for case based reasoning

AAAI'05 Proceedings of the 20th national conference on Artificial intelligence - Volume 1

Catching Gray Cygnets: an initial exploration

Proceedings of the 13th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Law
Using case-based tests to detect gray cygnets

ICCBR'11 Proceedings of the 19th international conference on Case-Based Reasoning Research and Development

Quantified Score

Hi-index	0.00

Visualization

Abstract

Surprising, exceptional cases -- so-called black swans -- can provoke extraordinary change in the way we do things or conceptualize the world. While it is not unreasonable to be surprised by a black swan, to be surprised by subsequent cases that are similar enough that they might cause the same sort of upheaval is unforgivable. The problem is how to reason about these almost novel, not totally unforeseen, subsequent cases that I call gray cygnets.