Change detection in rainfall and temperature patterns over India

  • Authors:
  • Shivam Tripathi;Rao S. Govindaraju

  • Affiliations:
  • Purdue University, West Lafayette, Indiana;Purdue University, West Lafayette, Indiana

  • Venue:
  • Proceedings of the Third International Workshop on Knowledge Discovery from Sensor Data
  • Year:
  • 2009

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Abstract

The changes in rainfall and temperature patterns over India were detected using Mann-Kendall trend test, Bayesian change point analysis, and a hidden Markov model. A regionalization method was developed to identify homogeneous regions that experience similar weather states. The regionalization helped in finding contiguous regions with strong change signals. The data were investigated at different temporal and spatial resolution to explore the nature of changes. The study found that all India summer monsoon is stable, but the winter or the north-east monsoon is gradually intensifying. It also detected an abrupt drop in the winter and spring temperature over north-central India and a gradual increase in the summer temperature over the peninsular India. Robustness of the detected changes were evaluated using recent reanalysis datasets.