Cost-Sensitive Learning Vector Quantization for Financial Distress Prediction

  • Authors:
  • Ning Chen;Armando S. Vieira;João Duarte;Bernardete Ribeiro;João C. Neves

  • Affiliations:
  • GECAD, Instituto Superior de Engenharia do Porto, Instituto Politecnico do Porto,;GECAD, Instituto Superior de Engenharia do Porto, Instituto Politecnico do Porto,;GECAD, Instituto Superior de Engenharia do Porto, Instituto Politecnico do Porto,;CISUC, Department of Informatics Engineering, University of Coimbra, Portugal;ISEG-School of Economics, Technical University of Lisbon, Portugal

  • Venue:
  • EPIA '09 Proceedings of the 14th Portuguese Conference on Artificial Intelligence: Progress in Artificial Intelligence
  • Year:
  • 2009

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Abstract

Financial distress prediction is of crucial importance in credit risk analysis with the increasing competition and complexity of credit industry. Although a variety of methods have been applied in this field, there are still some problems remained. The accurate and sensitive prediction in presence of unequal misclassification costs is an important one. Learning vector quantization (LVQ) is a powerful tool to solve financial distress prediction problem as a classification task. In this paper, a cost-sensitive version of LVQ is proposed which incorporates the cost information in the model. Experiments on two real data sets show the proposed approach is effective to improve the predictive capability in cost-sensitive situation.