An introduction to support Vector Machines: and other kernel-based learning methods
An introduction to support Vector Machines: and other kernel-based learning methods
Swarm intelligence
Time Series Analysis, Forecasting and Control
Time Series Analysis, Forecasting and Control
Neural Computation
Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
ISNN 2009 Proceedings of the 6th International Symposium on Neural Networks: Advances in Neural Networks - Part III
Modeling meteorological prediction using particle swarm optimization and neural network ensemble
ISNN'06 Proceedings of the Third international conference on Advances in Neural Networks - Volume Part III
An application of artificial neural networks for rainfall forecasting
Mathematical and Computer Modelling: An International Journal
Efficient tuning of SVM hyperparameters using radius/margin bound and iterative algorithms
IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks
Hi-index | 0.00 |
Accurate forecasting of rainfall has been one of the most important issues in hydrological research. In this paper, a novel neural network technique, support vector regression (SVR), to monthly rainfall forecasting. The aim of this study is to examine the feasibility of SVR in monthly rainfall forecasting by comparing it with back-propagation neural networks (BPNN) and the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model. This study proposes a novel approach, known as particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithms, which searches for SVR's optimal parameters, and then adopts the optimal parameters to construct the SVR models. The monthly rainfall in Guangxi of China during 1985-2001 were employed as the data set. The experimental results demonstrate that SVR outperforms the BPNN and ARIMA models based on the normalized mean square error (NMSE) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE).