Sparse Spatio-temporal Gaussian processes with general likelihoods

  • Authors:
  • Jouni Hartikainen;Jaakko Riihimäki;Simo Särkkä

  • Affiliations:
  • Dept. of Biomedical Engineering and Computational Science, Aalto University, Finland;Dept. of Biomedical Engineering and Computational Science, Aalto University, Finland;Dept. of Biomedical Engineering and Computational Science, Aalto University, Finland

  • Venue:
  • ICANN'11 Proceedings of the 21th international conference on Artificial neural networks - Volume Part I
  • Year:
  • 2011

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Abstract

In this paper, we consider learning of spatio-temporal processes by formulating a Gaussian process model as a solution to an evolution type stochastic partial differential equation. Our approach is based on converting the stochastic infinite-dimensional differential equation into a finite dimensional linear time invariant (LTI) stochastic differential equation (SDE) by discretizing the process spatially. The LTI SDE is time-discretized analytically, resulting in a state space model with linear-Gaussian dynamics. We use expectation propagation to perform approximate inference on non-Gaussian data, and show how to incorporate sparse approximations to further reduce the computational complexity. We briefly illustrate the proposed methodology with a simulation study and with a real world modelling problem.