On universal algorithms for adaptive forecasting

  • Authors:
  • V. V. V'Yugin

  • Affiliations:
  • Kharkevich Institute for Information Transmission Problems, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia

  • Venue:
  • Problems of Information Transmission
  • Year:
  • 2011

Quantified Score

Hi-index 0.00

Visualization

Abstract

In the last decade, new methods of forecasting were developed different from traditional statistical methods. In particular, it is possible to "efficiently" predict any sequence of outcomes without using any hypothesis on the nature of a source generating it. In the present paper, a modified version of the universal forecasting algorithm is considered. The main part of the paper is devoted to algorithmic analysis of universal forecasting methods and to exploring limits of their performance.