From the Editors---Probability Scoring Rules, Ambiguity, Multiattribute Terrorist Utility, and Sensitivity Analysis

  • Authors:

  • L. Robin Keller;Ali Abbas;J. Eric Bickel;Vicki M. Bier;David V. Budescu;John C. Butler;Philippe Delquié;Kenneth C. Lichtendahl;Jason R. W. Merrick;Ahti Salo;George Wu

  • Affiliations:

  • University of California, Irvine, Irvine, California 92697;University of Illinois at Urbana--Champaign, Urbana, Illinois 61801;University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas 78712;University of Wisconsin--Madison, Madison, Wisconsin 53706;Fordham University, Bronx, New York 10458;University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas 78712;The George Washington University, Washington, DC 20052;University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia 22903;Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, Virginia 23284;Aalto University, 00076 Aalto, Finland;University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois 60637

  • Venue:
  • Decision Analysis
  • Year:
  • 2011

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Abstract

This issue's “From the Editors” column is coauthored with all the associate editors, to emphasize their major role in the leadership of the journal. We first review this year's operations and thank our editorial board and referees. Our first article, by David J. Johnstone, Victor Richmond R. Jose, and Robert L. Winkler, presents “Tailored Scoring Rules for Probabilities,” which take into account the decision maker's specific situation. Next, in “Do Bayesians Learn Their Way Out of Ambiguity?,” Alexander Zimper addresses how people perceive ambiguous probabilities and how they update their perceptions. In our third article, Chen Wang and Vicki M. Bier examine “Target-Hardening Decisions Based on Uncertain Multiattribute Terrorist Utility.” The final article, by Stephen P. Chambal, Jeffery D. Weir, Yucel R. Kahraman, and Alex J. Gutman, is on “A Practical Procedure for Customizable One-Way Sensitivity Analysis in Additive Value Models.”