Short term local meteorological forecasting using type-2 fuzzy systems

  • Authors:
  • Arianna Mencattini;Marcello Salmeri;Stefano Bertazzoni;Roberto Lojacono;Eros Pasero;Walter Moniaci

  • Affiliations:
  • Dip. Ingegneria Elettronica, Università di Roma “Tor Vergata”, Roma RM, Italy;Dip. Ingegneria Elettronica, Università di Roma “Tor Vergata”, Roma RM, Italy;Dip. Ingegneria Elettronica, Università di Roma “Tor Vergata”, Roma RM, Italy;Dip. Ingegneria Elettronica, Università di Roma “Tor Vergata”, Roma RM, Italy;Dip. Elettronica, Politecnico di Torino, Torino TO, Italy;Dip. Elettronica, Politecnico di Torino, Torino TO, Italy

  • Venue:
  • WIRN'05 Proceedings of the 16th Italian conference on Neural Nets
  • Year:
  • 2005

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Abstract

Meteorological forecasting is an important issue in research. Typically, the forecasting is performed at “global level,” by gathering data in a large geographical region and by studying their evolution, thus foreseeing the meteorological situation in a certain place. In this paper a “local level” approach, based on time series forecasting using Type-2 Fuzzy Systems, is proposed. In particular temperature forecasting is inspected. The Fuzzy System is trained by means of historical local time series. The algorithm uses a detrend procedure in order to extract the chaotic component to be predicted.