Neural Networks for Pattern Recognition
Neural Networks for Pattern Recognition
A study of cross-validation and bootstrap for accuracy estimation and model selection
IJCAI'95 Proceedings of the 14th international joint conference on Artificial intelligence - Volume 2
ICANN/ICONIP'03 Proceedings of the 2003 joint international conference on Artificial neural networks and neural information processing
Methodology for long-term prediction of time series
Neurocomputing
Electric load forecasting based on locally weighted support vector regression
IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Part C: Applications and Reviews
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This paper presents k-NN as an approximator for time series prediction problems. The main advantage of this approximator is its simplicity. Despite the simplicity, k-NN can be used to perform input selection for nonlinear models and it also provides accurate approximations. Three model structure selection methods are presented: Leave-one-out, Bootstrap and Bootstrap 632. We will show that both Bootstraps provide a good estimate of the number of neighbors, k, where Leave-one-out fails. Results of the methods are presented with the Electric load from Poland data set.