Data mining: practical machine learning tools and techniques with Java implementations
Data mining: practical machine learning tools and techniques with Java implementations
BoosTexter: A Boosting-based Systemfor Text Categorization
Machine Learning - Special issue on information retrieval
Modeling Auction Price Uncertainty Using Boosting-based Conditional Density Estimation
ICML '02 Proceedings of the Nineteenth International Conference on Machine Learning
TAC-03: a supply-chain trading competition
AI Magazine
TacTex-03: a supply chain management agent
ACM SIGecom Exchanges
Botticelli: a supply chain management agent designed to optimize under uncertainty
ACM SIGecom Exchanges
PackaTAC: a conservative trading agent
ACM SIGecom Exchanges
Agent-Based Supply Chain Management: Bidding for Customer Orders
AAMAS '04 Proceedings of the Third International Joint Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems - Volume 3
Predicting people's bidding behavior in negotiation
AAMAS '06 Proceedings of the fifth international joint conference on Autonomous agents and multiagent systems
A predictive empirical model for pricing and resource allocation decisions
Proceedings of the ninth international conference on Electronic commerce
Forecasting market prices in a supply chain game
Proceedings of the 6th international joint conference on Autonomous agents and multiagent systems
Equilibrium Analysis Based Pricing Mechanism in a MultiAgent Based Supply-Chain System
WI-IATW '07 Proceedings of the 2007 IEEE/WIC/ACM International Conferences on Web Intelligence and Intelligent Agent Technology - Workshops
Agent Mertacor: A robust design for dealing with uncertainty and variation in SCM environments
Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
The CrocodileAgent: Designing a Robust Trading Agent for Volatile E-Market Conditions
KES-AMSTA '07 Proceedings of the 1st KES International Symposium on Agent and Multi-Agent Systems: Technologies and Applications
Data Mining-Driven Analysis and Decomposition in Agent Supply Chain Management Networks
WI-IAT '08 Proceedings of the 2008 IEEE/WIC/ACM International Conference on Web Intelligence and Intelligent Agent Technology - Volume 03
Forecasting market prices in a supply chain game
Electronic Commerce Research and Applications
CMieux: Adaptive strategies for competitive supply chain trading
Electronic Commerce Research and Applications
The 2007 procurement challenge: A competition to evaluate mixed procurement strategies
Electronic Commerce Research and Applications
Fuzzy adaptive agent for supply chain management
Web Intelligence and Agent Systems
Performance evaluation methods for the trading agent competition
AAAI'06 proceedings of the 21st national conference on Artificial intelligence - Volume 2
Detecting and forecasting economic regimes in multi-agent automated exchanges
Decision Support Systems
TacTex-05: an adaptive agent for TAC SCM
TADA/AMEC'06 Proceedings of the 2006 AAMAS workshop and TADA/AMEC 2006 conference on Agent-mediated electronic commerce: automated negotiation and strategy design for electronic markets
Adaptive pricing for customers with probabilistic valuations
TADA/AMEC'06 Proceedings of the 2006 AAMAS workshop and TADA/AMEC 2006 conference on Agent-mediated electronic commerce: automated negotiation and strategy design for electronic markets
A market-pressure-based performance evaluator for TAC-SCM
TADA/AMEC'06 Proceedings of the 2006 AAMAS workshop and TADA/AMEC 2006 conference on Agent-mediated electronic commerce: automated negotiation and strategy design for electronic markets
The CrocodileAgent 2005: an overview of the TAC SCM agent
TADA/AMEC'06 Proceedings of the 2006 AAMAS workshop and TADA/AMEC 2006 conference on Agent-mediated electronic commerce: automated negotiation and strategy design for electronic markets
Using aspiration adaptation theory to improve learning
The 10th International Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems - Volume 1
AI'05 Proceedings of the 18th Australian Joint conference on Advances in Artificial Intelligence
The crocodileagent: research for efficient agent-based cross-enterprise processes
OTM'06 Proceedings of the 2006 international conference on On the Move to Meaningful Internet Systems: AWeSOMe, CAMS, COMINF, IS, KSinBIT, MIOS-CIAO, MONET - Volume Part I
Identifying and forecasting economic regimes in TAC SCM
AMEC'05 Proceedings of the 2005 international conference on Agent-Mediated Electronic Commerce: designing Trading Agents and Mechanisms
Real-Time Tactical and Strategic Sales Management for Intelligent Agents Guided by Economic Regimes
Information Systems Research
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Supply chains are a current, challenging problem for agent-based electronic commerce. Motivated by the Trading Agent Competition Supply Chain Management (TAC SCM) scenario, we consider an individual supply chain agent as having three major subtasks: acquiring supplies, selling products, and managing its local manufacturing process. In this paper, we focus on the sales subtask. In particular, we consider the problem of finding the set of bids to customers in simultaneous reverse auctions that maximizes the agent's expected profit. The key technical challenges we address are i) predicting the probability that a customer will accept a particular bid price, and ii) searching for the most profitable set of bids. We first compare several machine learning approaches to estimating the probability of bid acceptance. We then present a heuristic approach to searching for the optimal set of bids. Finally, we perform experiments in which we apply our learning method and bidding method during actual gameplay to measure the impact on agent performance.