A novel nonlinear neural network ensemble model using K-PLSR for rainfall forecasting

  • Authors:
  • Chun Meng;Jiansheng Wu

  • Affiliations:
  • Department of Mathematics and Computer, Liuzhou Teacher College, Liuzhou, Guangxi, China;Department of Mathematics and Computer, Liuzhou Teacher College, Liuzhou, Guangxi, China

  • Venue:
  • ICIC'11 Proceedings of the 7th international conference on Intelligent Computing: bio-inspired computing and applications
  • Year:
  • 2011

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Abstract

In this paper, a novel hybrid Radial Basis Function Neural Network (RBF---NN) ensemble model is proposed for rainfall forecasting based on Kernel Partial Least Squares Regression (K---PLSR). In the process of ensemble modeling, the first stage the initial data set is divided into different training sets by used Bagging and Boosting technology. In the second stage, these training sets are input to the RBF---NN models of different kernel function, and then various single RBF---NN predictors are produced. Finally, K---PLSR is used for ensemble of the prediction purpose. Our findings reveal that the K---PLSR ensemble model can be used as an alternative forecasting tool for a Meteorological application in achieving greater forecasting accuracy.