Mining the peanut gallery: opinion extraction and semantic classification of product reviews
WWW '03 Proceedings of the 12th international conference on World Wide Web
The predictive power of online chatter
Proceedings of the eleventh ACM SIGKDD international conference on Knowledge discovery in data mining
Computational Linguistics
Thumbs up?: sentiment classification using machine learning techniques
EMNLP '02 Proceedings of the ACL-02 conference on Empirical methods in natural language processing - Volume 10
A sentimental education: sentiment analysis using subjectivity summarization based on minimum cuts
ACL '04 Proceedings of the 42nd Annual Meeting on Association for Computational Linguistics
Opinion Mining and Sentiment Analysis
Foundations and Trends in Information Retrieval
The WEKA data mining software: an update
ACM SIGKDD Explorations Newsletter
Predicting the Future with Social Media
WI-IAT '10 Proceedings of the 2010 IEEE/WIC/ACM International Conference on Web Intelligence and Intelligent Agent Technology - Volume 01
User-level sentiment analysis incorporating social networks
Proceedings of the 17th ACM SIGKDD international conference on Knowledge discovery and data mining
Predictability and prediction for an experimental cultural market
SBP'10 Proceedings of the Third international conference on Social Computing, Behavioral Modeling, and Prediction
Co-training and visualizing sentiment evolvement for tweet events
Proceedings of the 22nd international conference on World Wide Web companion
Adaptive co-training SVM for sentiment classification on tweets
Proceedings of the 22nd ACM international conference on Conference on information & knowledge management
Box office prediction based on microblog
Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
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More and more people express their opinions on social media such as Facebook and Twitter. Predictive analysis on social media time-series allows the stake-holders to leverage this immediate, accessible and vast reachable communication channel to react and proact against the public opinion. In particular, understanding and predicting the sentiment change of the public opinions will allow business and government agencies to react against negative sentiment and design strategies such as dispelling rumors and post balanced messages to revert the public opinion. In this paper, we present a strategy of building statistical models from the social media dynamics to predict collective sentiment dynamics. We model the collective sentiment change without delving into micro analysis of individual tweets or users and their corresponding low level network structures. Experiments on large-scale Twitter data show that the model can achieve above 85% accuracy on directional sentiment prediction.