Lessons learned from modeling the dynamics of software development
Communications of the ACM
Systems thinking: critical thinking skills for the 1990s and beyond
System Dynamics Review - Special issue: Systems thinking in education
Boom, bust, and failures to learn in experimental markets
Management Science
The innovator's dilemma: when new technologies cause great firms to fail
The innovator's dilemma: when new technologies cause great firms to fail
Feedback Thought in Social Science and Systems Theory
Feedback Thought in Social Science and Systems Theory
Business Dynamics
A path taken: computer-assisted heuristics for understanding dynamic systems
A path taken: computer-assisted heuristics for understanding dynamic systems
Offshore Outsourcing: A Dynamic Causal Model of Counteracting Forces
Journal of Management Information Systems
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To encourage premium-quality information systems IS research in areas where dynamic complexity rules, this article combines disruptive innovation strategy DIS theory with the system dynamics SD modeling method. It presents a computer simulation model of the hard disk HD maker population overshoot and collapse dynamics. Data from the HD maker industry help calibrate the parameters of the SD model and replicate the HD makers' overshoot and collapse dynamics, which DIS allegedly caused from 1973 through 1993. SD model analysis entails articulating exactly how the structure of feedback relations among variables in a system determines its performance through time. The analysis of the HD maker population model shows that, over five distinct time phases, four different feedback loops might have been most prominent in generating the HD maker population dynamics. The article shows the benefits of using SD modeling software, such as iThink®, and SD model analysis software, such as Digest®. The latter helps detect exactly how changes in loop polarity and prominence determine system performance through time. Strategic scenarios computed with the model also show the relevance of using SD for IS research and practice.