Combining technical analysis and grammatical evolution in a trading system

  • Authors:
  • Iván Contreras;J. Ignacio Hidalgo;Laura Núñez-Letamendia

  • Affiliations:
  • Facultad de Informática, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Spain;Facultad de Informática, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Spain;IE Business School, Madrid, Spain

  • Venue:
  • EvoApplications'13 Proceedings of the 16th European conference on Applications of Evolutionary Computation
  • Year:
  • 2013

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Abstract

Trading Systems are beneficial for financial investments due to the complexity of nowadays markets. On one hand, finance markets are influenced by a great amount of factors of different sources such as government policies, natural disasters, international trade, political factors etc. On the other hand, traders, brokers or practitioners in general could be affected by human emotions, so their behaviour in the stock market becomes nonobjective. The high pressure induced by handling a large volume of money is the main reason of the so-called market psychology. Trading systems are able to avoid a great amount of these factors, allowing investors to abstract the complex flow of information and the emotions related to the investments. In this paper we compare two trading systems based on Evolutionary Computation. The first is a GA-based one and was already proposed and tested with data from 2006. The second one is a grammatical evolution approach which uses a new evaluation method. Experimental results show that the later outperforms the GA approach with a set of selected companies of the spanish market with 2012 data.