On Finding and Learning Effective Strategies for Complex Non-zero-sum Repeated Games

  • Authors:
  • Predrag T. Tosic;Philip C. Dasler;Carlos Ordonez

  • Affiliations:
  • -;-;-

  • Venue:
  • WI-IAT '12 Proceedings of the The 2012 IEEE/WIC/ACM International Joint Conferences on Web Intelligence and Intelligent Agent Technology - Volume 02
  • Year:
  • 2012

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Abstract

We study complex non-zero-sum iterated two player games, more specifically, various strategies and their performances in iterated travelerâ脗聙脗聶s dilemma (ITD). We focus on the relative performances of several types of parameterized strategies, where each such strategy type corresponds to a particular â脗聙脗聹philosophyâ脗聙脗聺 on how to best predict opponentâ脗聙脗聶sfuture behavior and/or entice the opponent to alter its behavior. We are particularly interested in adaptable, learning and/or evolving strategies that try to predict the future behavior of the other player, and hence optimize their own behavior in the long run. We also study strategies that strive to minimize risk, as risk minimization has been recently suggested to be the appropriate solution paradigm for ITD and several other complex games that have posed difficulties to classical game theory. We share the key insights from an elaborate round-robin tournament that we have implemented and analyzed. We draw some conclusions on what kinds of adaptability and models of the other playerâ脗聙脗聶s behavior seem to be most effective in the long run. Lastly, we indicate some promising ways forward toward a better understanding of learning how to play complex iterated games well.