Spatio-temporal and events based analysis of topic popularity in twitter

  • Authors:
  • Sebastien Ardon;Amitabha Bagchi;Anirban Mahanti;Amit Ruhela;Aaditeshwar Seth;Rudra Mohan Tripathy;Sipat Triukose

  • Affiliations:
  • NICTA Australia, Sydney, Australia;IIT Delhi, New Delhi, India;NICTA Australia, Sydney, Australia;IIT Delhi, New Delhi, India;IIT Delhi, New Delhi, India;IIT Delhi, New Delhi, India;NICTA Australia, Sydney, Australia

  • Venue:
  • Proceedings of the 22nd ACM international conference on Conference on information & knowledge management
  • Year:
  • 2013

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Abstract

We present the first comprehensive characterization of the diffusion of ideas on Twitter, studying more than 5.96 million topics that include both popular and less popular topics. On a data set containing approximately 10 million users and a comprehensive scraping of 196 million tweets, we perform a rigorous temporal and spatial analysis, investigating the time-evolving properties of the subgraphs formed by the users discussing each topic. We focus on two different notions of the spatial: the network topology formed by follower-following links on Twitter, and the geospatial location of the users. We investigate the effect of initiators on the popularity of topics and find that users with a high number of followers have a strong impact on topic popularity. We deduce that topics become popular when disjoint clusters of users discussing them begin to merge and form one giant component that grows to cover a significant fraction of the network. Our geospatial analysis shows that highly popular topics are those that cross regional boundaries aggressively.