Incremental Frequent Route Based Trajectory Prediction

  • Authors:
  • Anja Bachmann;Christian Borgelt;Győző Gidófalvi

  • Affiliations:
  • Karlsruhe Inst. of Technology;EU Centre for Soft Computing;KTH Royal Inst. of Technology

  • Venue:
  • Proceedings of the Sixth ACM SIGSPATIAL International Workshop on Computational Transportation Science
  • Year:
  • 2013

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Abstract

Recent technological trends enable modern traffic prediction and management systems in which the analysis and prediction of movements of objects is essential. To this extent the present paper proposes IncCCFR---a novel, incremental approach for managing, mining, and predicting the incrementally evolving trajectories of moving objects. In addition to reduced mining and storage costs, a key advantage of the incremental approach is its ability to combine multiple temporally relevant mining results from the past to capture temporal and periodic regularities in movement. The approach and its variants are empirically evaluated on a large real-world data set of moving object trajectories, originating from a fleet of taxis, illustrating that detailed closed frequent routes can be efficiently discovered and used for prediction.