An integrated expert system for fast disaster assessment

  • Authors:

  • Gang Kou;Daji Ergu;Yu Shi

  • Affiliations:

  • School of Management and Economics, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu 610054, China;College of Electrical and Information Engineering, Southwest University for Nationalities, Chengdu 610041, China;School of Management and Economics, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu 610054, China

  • Venue:
  • Computers and Operations Research
  • Year:
  • 2014

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Abstract

Most of the existing disaster assessment models are based on single method, such as expert system, or one of the multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) methods. This paper proposes an efficient disaster assessment expert system, which integrates fuzzy logic, survey questionnaire, Delphi method and MCDM methods. Two simulation experiments on typhoon and earthquake are introduced to validate the integrated expert system. The satisfaction degrees of the proposed model in both cases are 75% and 74.5%, respectively, which are close to the ideal rate (78%) of the proposed model. The experimental results show that the proposed expert system is not only efficient, fast and accurate, but also robust through self-adaptive study and has strong adaptability to different environments.