Cellular automata for simulating land use changes based on support vector machines
Computers & Geosciences
The Impact of Climate Change on Future Land-Use in a Coastal Zone Planning Context
ICCSA '08 Proceeding sof the international conference on Computational Science and Its Applications, Part I
Exploring spatial data uncertainties in land-use change scenarios
International Journal of Geographical Information Science
Environmental Modelling & Software
Accessibility analysis and modelling in public transport networks: a raster based approach
ICCSA'11 Proceedings of the 2011 international conference on Computational science and its applications - Volume Part I
Environmental Modelling & Software
International Journal of Geographical Information Science
A multi-agent model system for land-use change simulation
Environmental Modelling & Software
Environmental Modelling & Software
Spatial agent-based models for socio-ecological systems: Challenges and prospects
Environmental Modelling & Software
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The modelling of land use change is a way to analyse future scenarios by modelling different pathways. Application of spatial data of different scales coupled with socio-economic data makes it possible to explore and test the understanding of land use change relations. In the EU-FP7 research project PASHMINA (Paradigm Shift modelling and innovative approaches), three storylines of future transportation paradigm shifts towards 2040 are created. These storylines are translated into spatial planning strategies and modelled using the cellular automata model LUCIA. For the modelling, an Eastern Danish case area was selected, comprising of the Copenhagen metropolitan area and its hinterland. The different scenarios are described using a range of different descriptive GIS datasets. These include mapping of accessibility based on public and private transportation, urban density and structure, and distribution of jobs and population. These indicators are then incorporated in the model calculations as factors determining urban development, related to the scenario outlines. The results calculated from the scenarios reveals the great difference in urban distribution that different spatial planning strategies can produce, changing the shape of the urban landscape. The scenarios visualized showed to outline different planning strategies that could be implemented, creating a more homogenous urban structure targeted at a reduction of transportation work and thus energy consumption. This will lead to less impact on climate from transportation based on a more optimal localization and transport infrastructure strategy.