Calibrating a forest landscape model to simulate frequent fire in Mediterranean-type shrublands
Environmental Modelling & Software
Environmental Modelling & Software
Injecting Dynamic Real-Time Data into a DDDAS for Forest Fire Behavior Prediction
ICCS 2009 Proceedings of the 9th International Conference on Computational Science
The WEKA data mining software: an update
ACM SIGKDD Explorations Newsletter
Enhancing wildland fire prediction on cluster systems applying evolutionary optimization techniques
Future Generation Computer Systems
An integrative model of human-influenced fire regimes and landscape dynamics
Environmental Modelling & Software
Simulation of surface fire fronts using fireLib and GPUs
Environmental Modelling & Software
Position paper: Characterising performance of environmental models
Environmental Modelling & Software
Environmental Modelling & Software
Uncertainty associated with model predictions of surface and crown fire rates of spread
Environmental Modelling & Software
Spatial interpolation of McArthur's Forest Fire Danger Index across Australia: Observational study
Environmental Modelling & Software
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This work details a framework developed to shorten the time needed to perform fire spread predictions. The methodology presented relies on a two-stage prediction strategy which introduces a calibration stage in order to relieve the effects of uncertainty on simulator input parameters. Early assessment of the response time and quality of the results obtained constitute a key component in this method. This automatic and intelligent process of identification of lengthy simulations that slow down the course of the predictions presents a very high hit ratio. However, discarding certain simulations from the adjustment process (based on evolutionary algorithms) could lead to loss of accuracy in our predictions. A strong statistical study to analyze the impact of this action on our final predictions is reported. This study is based on a real fire which burnt 13,000 ha in the region of Catalonia (north-east of Spain) in the summer of 2012.