Usage history of scientific literature: Nature metrics and metrics of Nature publications

  • Authors:

  • Xianwen Wang;Wenli Mao;Shenmeng Xu;Chunbo Zhang

  • Affiliations:

  • WISE Lab, School of Public Administration and Law, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian, China 116085 and DUT-Drexel Joint Institute for the Study of Knowledge Visualization and Scientific Disc ...;WISE Lab, School of Public Administration and Law, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian, China 116085;School of Information and Library Science, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, USA 27599-3360;WISE Lab, School of Public Administration and Law, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian, China 116085

  • Venue:
  • Scientometrics
  • Year:
  • 2014

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Abstract

In this study, we analyze the dynamic usage history of Nature publications over time using Nature metrics data. We conduct analysis from two perspectives. On the one hand, we examine how long it takes before the articles' downloads reach 50 %/80 % of the total; on the other hand, we compare the percentage of total downloads in 7, 30, and 100 days after publication. In general, papers are downloaded most frequently within a short time period right after their publication. And we find that compared with non-Open Access papers, readers' attention on Open Access publications are more enduring. Based on the usage data of a newly published paper, regression analysis could predict the future expected total usage counts.