Probabilistic reasoning in intelligent systems: networks of plausible inference
Probabilistic reasoning in intelligent systems: networks of plausible inference
A model for reasoning about persistence and causation
Computational Intelligence
Formulation of tradeoffs in planning under uncertainty
Formulation of tradeoffs in planning under uncertainty
Dynamic network updating techniques for diagnostic reasoning
Proceedings of the seventh conference (1991) on Uncertainty in artificial intelligence
Finite State Markovian Decision Processes
Finite State Markovian Decision Processes
Introduction to the Special Section on Probabilistic Reasoning
IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence
A Language for Construction of Belief Networks
IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence
Problem formulation as the reduction of a decision model
UAI '90 Proceedings of the Sixth Annual Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence
Refinement and coarsening of Bayesian networks
UAI '90 Proceedings of the Sixth Annual Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence
an entropy-driven system for construction of probabilistic expert systems from databases
UAI '90 Proceedings of the Sixth Annual Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence
NasoNet, Joining Bayesian Networks and Time to Model Nasopharyngeal Cancer Spread
AIME '01 Proceedings of the 8th Conference on AI in Medicine in Europe: Artificial Intelligence Medicine
The Influence of Influence Diagrams in Medicine
Decision Analysis
AIME '07 Proceedings of the 11th conference on Artificial Intelligence in Medicine
Journal of Biomedical Informatics
Tradeoffs in constructing and evaluating temporal influence diagrams
UAI'93 Proceedings of the Ninth international conference on Uncertainty in artificial intelligence
Graph-grammar assistance for automated generation of influence diagrams
UAI'93 Proceedings of the Ninth international conference on Uncertainty in artificial intelligence
Artificial Intelligence in Medicine
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Computing diagnoses in domains with continuously changing data is difficult but essential aspect of solving many problems. To address this task, a dynamic influence diagram (ID) construction and updating system (DYNASTY) and its application to constructing a decision-theoretic model to diagnose acute abdominal pain, which is a domain in which the findings evolve during the diagnostic process, are described. For a system that evolves over time, DYNASTY constructs a parsimonious ID and then dynamically updates the ID, rather than constructing a new network from scratch for every time interval. In addition, DYNASTY contains algorithms that test the sensitivity of the constructed network's system parameters. The main contributions are: (1) presenting an efficient temporal influence diagram technique based on parsimonious model construction; and (2) formalizing the principles underlying a diagnostic tool for acute abdominal pain that explicitly models time-varying findings.