Chance discovery and scenario analysis

Authors:
Peter McBurney;Simon Parsons
Affiliations:
Department of Computer Science, University of Liverpool, Liverpool L69 7ZF, UK;Center for Co-ordination Science, Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA
Venue:
New Generation Computing - Special issue on chance discovery
Year:
2003

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Abstract

Scenario analysis is often used to identify possible chance events. However, no formal computational theory yet exists for scenario analysis. In this paper, we commence development of such a theory by defining a scenario in an argumentation context, and by considering the question of when two scenarios are the same.