Time-series prediction using adaptive neuro-fuzzy networks

  • Authors:
  • Cheng-Jian Lin

  • Affiliations:
  • Department of Computer Science and Information Engineering, Chaoyang University of Technology, No. 168, Jifong E. Rd., Wufong Township, Taichung County 41349, Taiwan (ROC)

  • Venue:
  • International Journal of Systems Science
  • Year:
  • 2004

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Abstract

In this paper, we propose an Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Network (ANFN) to deal with forecasting problems. The ANFN model is inherently a modified Takagi-Sugeno-Kang-type fuzzy-rule-based model possessing a neural network's learning ability. We propose a hybrid learning algorithm which combines the Genetic Algorithm (GA) and the Least-Squares Estimate (LSE) method to construct the ANFN model. The GA is used to tune membership functions at the precondition part of Juzzy rules, while the LSE method is used to tune parameters at the consequent part of fuzzy rules. Simulations demonstrate that the proposed ANFN model has a good predictive capability.