Well-calibrated predictions from on-line compression models

  • Authors:
  • Vladimir Vovk

  • Affiliations:
  • Computer Learning Research Centre, Department of Computer Science, Royal Holloway, University of London, Egham, Surrey, UK

  • Venue:
  • Theoretical Computer Science - Algorithmic learning theory
  • Year:
  • 2006

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Abstract

It has been shown recently that transductive confidence machine (TCM) is automatically well-calibrated when used in the on-line mode and provided that the data sequence is generated by an exchangeable distribution. In this paper we strengthen this result by relaxing the assumption of exchangeability of the data-generating distribution to the much weaker assumption that the data agrees with a given "on-line compression model".