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Proceedings of the 2002 ACM SIGMOD international conference on Management of data
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Neural Processing Letters
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SVM '02 Proceedings of the First International Workshop on Pattern Recognition with Support Vector Machines
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ICDM '03 Proceedings of the Third IEEE International Conference on Data Mining
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Pattern Recognition Letters
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IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering
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Cellular automata for simulating land use changes based on support vector machines
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ISNN '07 Proceedings of the 4th international symposium on Neural Networks: Advances in Neural Networks, Part III
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ISNN '07 Proceedings of the 4th international symposium on Neural Networks: Advances in Neural Networks, Part III
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Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
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RSFDGrC '07 Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on Rough Sets, Fuzzy Sets, Data Mining and Granular Computing
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ICANN '09 Proceedings of the 19th International Conference on Artificial Neural Networks: Part I
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ICANN '09 Proceedings of the 19th International Conference on Artificial Neural Networks: Part II
PCM '09 Proceedings of the 10th Pacific Rim Conference on Multimedia: Advances in Multimedia Information Processing
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Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
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IEEE Computational Intelligence Magazine
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IDEAL'07 Proceedings of the 8th international conference on Intelligent data engineering and automated learning
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KES-AMSTA'08 Proceedings of the 2nd KES International conference on Agent and multi-agent systems: technologies and applications
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Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
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Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
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Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
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ICONIP'06 Proceedings of the 13th international conference on Neural information processing - Volume Part III
Grey relational grade in local support vector regression for financial time series prediction
Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
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ICNC'05 Proceedings of the First international conference on Advances in Natural Computation - Volume Part II
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Computers & Geosciences
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ADMA'06 Proceedings of the Second international conference on Advanced Data Mining and Applications
Application of type-2 neuro-fuzzy modeling in stock price prediction
Applied Soft Computing
ISNN'05 Proceedings of the Second international conference on Advances in Neural Networks - Volume Part III
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Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing
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Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
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The Bayesian evidence framework is applied in this paper to least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM) regression in order to infer nonlinear models for predicting a financial time series and the related volatility. On the first level of inference, a statistical framework is related to the LS-SVM formulation which allows one to include the time-varying volatility of the market by an appropriate choice of several hyper-parameters. The hyper-parameters of the model are inferred on the second level of inference. The inferred hyper-parameters, related to the volatility, are used to construct a volatility model within the evidence framework. Model comparison is performed on the third level of inference in order to automatically tune the parameters of the kernel function and to select the relevant inputs. The LS-SVM formulation allows one to derive analytic expressions in the feature space and practical expressions are obtained in the dual space replacing the inner product by the related kernel function using Mercer's theorem. The one step ahead prediction performances obtained on the prediction of the weekly 90-day T-bill rate and the daily DAX30 closing prices show that significant out of sample sign predictions can be made with respect to the Pesaran-Timmerman test statistic