Seabreeze Prediction Using Bayesian Networks

  • Authors:
  • Russell J. Kennett;Kevin B. Korb;Ann E. Nicholson

  • Affiliations:
  • -;-;-

  • Venue:
  • PAKDD '01 Proceedings of the 5th Pacific-Asia Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining
  • Year:
  • 2001

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Abstract

In this paper we examine the use of Bayesian networks (BNs) for improving weather prediction, applying them to the problem of predicting sea breezes. We compare a pre-existing Bureau of Meteorology rule-based system with an elicited BN and others learned by two data mining programs, TETRAD II [Spirtes et al., 1993] and Causal MML [Wallace and Korb, 1999]. These Bayesian nets are shown to significantly outperform the rule-based system in predictive accuracy.