Diffusion models of mobile telephony in Greece

Authors:
Christos Michalakelis;Dimitris Varoutas;Thomas Sphicopoulos
Affiliations:
Department of Informatics and Telecommunications, University of Athens, Panepistimiopolis, Ilisia, 157 84 Athens, Greece;Department of Informatics and Telecommunications, University of Athens, Panepistimiopolis, Ilisia, 157 84 Athens, Greece;Department of Informatics and Telecommunications, University of Athens, Panepistimiopolis, Ilisia, 157 84 Athens, Greece
Venue:
Telecommunications Policy
Year:
2008

Citing 1
Cited 16

The Economics of Mobile Telecommunications

The Economics of Mobile Telecommunications

Understanding early diffusion of digital wireless phones

Telecommunications Policy
An estimation of the pattern of diffusion of mobile phones: The case of Colombia

Telecommunications Policy
Factors affecting the present and future use of mobile data services: comparing the Dutch, Finnish and Greek markets

International Journal of Mobile Communications
Business modeling and financial analysis for Metropolitan Area Networks: Evidence from Greece

Telematics and Informatics
Estimating diffusion and price elasticity with application to telecommunications

Netnomics
Dynamic estimation of markets exhibiting a prey-predator behavior

Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
A new empirical model for short-term forecasting of the broadband penetration: a short research in Greece

Modelling and Simulation in Engineering
Forecasting 3G mobile subscription in China: A study based on stochastic frontier analysis and a Bass diffusion model

Telecommunications Policy
The relationship between organizational culture and market orientation in the Greek telecommunication companies

Netnomics
Diffusion of mobile handset features: Analysis of turning points and stages

Telecommunications Policy
The diffusion of mobile telephones: An empirical analysis for Peru

Telecommunications Policy
A pricing method for elastic services that guarantees the GoS in a scenario of evolutionary demand

Computer Communications
Multiple subscriptions of mobile telephony: Explaining the diffusion pattern using sampling data

Telecommunications Policy
Young mobile users: Radical and individual - Not

Telematics and Informatics
An integrated model for analyzing the development of the 4G telecommunications market in Taiwan

Telecommunications Policy
Early diffusion of smartphones in OECD and BRICS countries: An examination of the effects of platform competition and indirect network effects

Telematics and Informatics

Quantified Score

Hi-index	0.00

Visualization

Abstract

This paper examines and presents the diffusion rate of mobile telephony subscriptions in Greece. Following the evaluation of the most widely used aggregate technology diffusion models (such as the Bass model, the Fisher-Pry model, the Gompertz models and some representatives of the logistic variants), it becomes evident that these S-shaped models are suitable enough for accurate fitting and forecasting the diffusion of mobile telephony. The analysis of the diffusion process in Greece provides some interesting aspects of mobile penetration such as the correlation between the diffusion speed and the number of competing operators as well as other socioeconomic and regulatory aspects. As a result of the estimation of 2G's diffusion process parameters, the potential market size and the analysis of the techniques for the appropriate model selection, this analysis can be considered as a means of providing an insight into the estimation of the diffusion shapes of the forthcoming generations of mobile telephony and telecommunication products and services in Greece and elsewhere.